See–saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian–Australian summer monsoon

Eroglu, Deniz, McRobie, Fiona H., Ozken, Ibrahim, Stemler, Thomas, Wyrwoll, Karl-Heinz, Breitenbach, Sebastian, Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, Jürgen (2016) See–saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian–Australian summer monsoon. Nature Communications, 7 (1). ISSN 2041-1723

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12929

Abstract

The East Asian–Indonesian–Australian summer monsoon (EAIASM) links the Earth’s hemispheres and provides a heat source that drives global circulation. At seasonal and inter-seasonal timescales, the summer monsoon of one hemisphere is linked via outflows from the winter monsoon of the opposing hemisphere. Long-term phase relationships between the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the Indonesian–Australian summer monsoon (IASM) are poorly understood, raising questions of long-term adjustments to future greenhouse-triggered climate change and whether these changes could ‘lock in’ possible IASM and EASM phase relationships in a region dependent on monsoonal rainfall. Here we show that a newly developed nonlinear time series analysis technique allows confident identification of strong versus weak monsoon phases at millennial to sub-centennial timescales. We find a see–saw relationship over the last 9,000 years—with strong and weak monsoons opposingly phased and triggered by solar variations. Our results provide insights into centennial- to millennial-scale relationships within the wider EAIASM regime.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Attribution, Palaeoclimate
Subjects: F600 Geology
F700 Ocean Sciences
F800 Physical and Terrestrial Geographical and Environmental Sciences
F900 Others in Physical Sciences
Department: Faculties > Engineering and Environment > Geography and Environmental Sciences
Depositing User: Rachel Branson
Date Deposited: 20 Feb 2020 10:37
Last Modified: 20 Feb 2020 10:45
URI: http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/42149

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