Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy

Ruiu, Gabriele and Ruiu, Maria (2020) Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy. Emerald Open Research, 2 (25). ISSN 2631-3952

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1

Abstract

Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Covid19, Lockdown, Italy, Contagion
Subjects: A300 Clinical Medicine
A900 Others in Medicine and Dentistry
L700 Human and Social Geography
L900 Others in Social studies
Department: Faculties > Arts, Design and Social Sciences > Social Sciences
Depositing User: Rachel Branson
Date Deposited: 30 Jun 2020 14:24
Last Modified: 30 Jun 2020 14:30
URI: http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/43621

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