National implementation of reperfusion for acute ischaemic stroke in England: How should services be configured? A modelling study

Allen, Michael, Pearn, Kerry, Ford, Gary A,, White, Phil, Rudd, Anthony G., McMeekin, Peter, Stein, Ken and James, Martin (2021) National implementation of reperfusion for acute ischaemic stroke in England: How should services be configured? A modelling study. European Stroke Journal. p. 239698732110633. ISSN 2396-9873 (In Press)

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/23969873211063323

Abstract

Objectives: To guide policy when planning thrombolysis (IVT) and thrombectomy (MT) services for acute stroke in England, focussing on the choice between ‘mothership’ (direct conveyance to an MT centre) and ‘drip-and-ship’ (secondary transfer) provision and the impact of bypassing local acute stroke centres. Design: Outcome-based modelling study. Setting: 107 acute stroke centres in England, 24 of which provide IVT and MT (IVT/MT centres) and 83 provide only IVT (IVT-only units). Participants: 242,874 emergency admissions with acute stroke over 3 years (2015–2017). Intervention: Reperfusion delivered by drip-and-ship, mothership or ‘hybrid’ models; impact of additional travel time to directly access an IVT/MT centre by bypassing a more local IVT-only unit; effect of pre-hospital selection for large artery occlusion (LAO). Main outcome measures: Population benefit from reperfusion, time to IVT and MT, admission numbers to IVT-only units and IVT/MT centres. Results: Without pre-hospital selection for LAO, 94% of the population of England live in areas where the greatest clinical benefit, assuming unknown patient status, accrues from direct conveyance to an IVT/MT centre. However, this policy produces unsustainable admission numbers at these centres, with 78 out of 83 IVT-only units receiving fewer than 300 admissions per year (compared to 3 with drip-and-ship). Implementing a maximum permitted additional travel time to bypass an IVT-only unit, using a pre-hospital test for LAO, and selecting patients based on stroke onset time, all help to mitigate the destabilising effect but there is still some significant disruption to admission numbers, and improved selection of patients suitable for MT selectively reduces the number of patients who would receive IVT at IVT-only centres, challenging the sustainability of IVT expertise in IVT-only centres. Conclusions: Implementation of reperfusion for acute stroke based solely on achieving the maximum population benefit potentially leads to destabilisation of the emergency stroke care system. Careful planning is required to create a sustainable system, and modelling may be used to help planners maximise benefit from reperfusion while creating a sustainable emergency stroke care system.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Funding information: The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This report is independent research funded by the National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration South West Peninsula and by the National Institute for Health Research Health Programme Development Grant NIHR201692. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author and not necessarily those of the National Institute for Health Research or the Department of Health and Social Care.
Uncontrolled Keywords: Stroke, thrombolysis, thrombectomy, health services research
Subjects: B100 Anatomy, Physiology and Pathology
Department: Faculties > Health and Life Sciences > Nursing, Midwifery and Health
Depositing User: Elena Carlaw
Date Deposited: 04 Jan 2022 10:16
Last Modified: 04 Jan 2022 10:16
URI: http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/48059

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