Improving the Role of Judgment in Economic Forecasting

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Lawrence, Michael (2011) Improving the Role of Judgment in Economic Forecasting. In: The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting. Oxford University Press, pp. 163-192. ISBN 9780195398649

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Abstract

This article first explores the variety of ways in which judgment plays a role in economic forecasting before outlining the potential problems associated with these applications of judgment. It then discusses the effectiveness of methods that have been designed to improve judgment in other areas of forecasting and assesses the extent to which these methods can be usefully employed by economic forecasters.

Item Type:	Book Section
Subjects:	L100 Economics
Department:	Faculties > Business and Law > Newcastle Business School
Depositing User:	Becky Skoyles
Date Deposited:	10 May 2019 12:15
Last Modified:	19 Nov 2019 09:52
URI:	http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/39256

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