Items where Author is "Önkal, Dilek"

Article

Derbyshire, James, Belton, Ian, Dhami, Mandeep and Önkal, Dilek (2023) The value of experiments in futures and foresight science as illustrated by the case of scenario planning. Futures and Foresight Science, 5 (2). e146. ISSN 2573-5152

Pichlerová, Magdaléna, Výbošťok, Jozef, Önkal, Dilek, Lamatungga, Kiki Ekiawan, Tamatam, Dhanalakshmi, Marcineková, Lenka and Pichler, Viliam (2023) Increased appreciation of forests and their restorative effects during the COVID-19 pandemic. Ambio, 52 (3). pp. 647-664. ISSN 0044-7447

Dhami, Mandeep K., Wicke, Lars and Önkal, Dilek (2022) Scenario generation and scenario quality using the cone of plausibility. Futures, 142. p. 102995. ISSN 0016-3287

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2022) Commentary on Making Forecasting More Trustworthy. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (66). pp. 26-29. ISSN 1555-9068

Petropoulos, Fotios, Apiletti, Daniele, Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, Babai, Mohamed Zied, Barrow, Devon K., Taieb, Souhaib Ben, Bergmeir, Christoph, Bessa, Ricardo J., Bijak, Jakub, Boylan, John E., Browell, Jethro, Carnevale, Claudio, Castle, Jennifer L., Cirillo, Pasquale, Clements, Michael P., Cordeiro, Clara, Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino, De Baets, Shari, Dokumentov, Alexander, Ellison, Joanne, Fiszeder, Piotr, Franses, Philip Hans, Frazier, David T., Gilliland, Michael, Gonul, Sinan, Goodwin, Paul, Grossi, Luigi, Grushka-Cockayne, Yael, Guidolin, Mariangela, Guidolin, Massimo, Gunter, Ulrich, Guo, Xiaojia, Guseo, Renato, Harvey, Nigel, Hendry, David F., Hollyman, Ross, Januschowski, Tim, Jeon, Jooyoung, Jose, Victor Richmond R., Kang, Yanfei, Koehler, Anne B., Kolassa, Stephan, Kourentzes, Nikolaos, Leva, Sonia, Li, Feng, Litsiou, Konstantia, Makridakis, Spyros, Martin, Gael M., Martinez, Andrew B., Meeran, Sheik, Modis, Theodore, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, Önkal, Dilek, Alessia Paccagnini, Alessia, Panagiotelis, Anastasios, Panapakidis, Ioannis, Pavia, Jose M., Pedio, Manuela, Pedregal, Diego J., Pinson, Pierre, Ramos, Patricia, Rapach, David E., Reade, J. James, Rostami-Tabar, Bahman, Rubaszek, Michał, Sermpinis, Georgios, Shang, Han Lin, Spiliotis, Evangelos, Syntetos, Aris A., Talagala, Priyanga Dilini, Talagala, Thiyanga S., Tashman, Len, Thomakos, Dimitrios, Thorarinsdottir, Thordis, Todini, Ezio, Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramon, Wang, Xiaoqian, Winkler, Robert L., Yusupova, Alisa and Ziel, Florian (2022) Forecasting: theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting, 38 (3). pp. 705-871. ISSN 0169-2070

Wicke, Lars, Dhami, Mandeep, Önkal, Dilek and Belton, Ian (2022) Using Scenarios to Forecast Outcomes of a Refugee Crisis. International Journal of Forecasting, 38 (3). pp. 1175-1184. ISSN 0169-2070

De Baets, Shari, Önkal, Dilek and Ahmed, Wasim (2022) Do Risky Scenarios Affect Forecasts of Savings and Expenses? Forecasting, 4 (1). pp. 307-335. ISSN 2571-9394

Pichlerová, Magdaléna, Önkal, Dilek, Bartlett, Anthony, Výbošťok, Jozef and Pichler, Viliam (2021) Variability in Forest Visit Numbers in Different Regions and Population Segments before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18 (7). p. 3469. ISSN 1661-7827

Önkal, Dilek and De Baets, Shari (2020) Past‐Future Synergies: Commentary on Schoemaker 2020. Futures and Foresight Science, 2 (3-4). e51. ISSN 2573-5152

Mahroof, Kamran, Weerakkody, Vishanth, Önkal, Dilek and Hussain, Zahid (2020) Technology as a disruptive agent: Intergenerational perspectives. Information Systems Frontiers, 22 (3). pp. 749-770. ISSN 1387-3326

Önkal, Dilek (2020) M4 Competition: What’s Next. International Journal of Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 206-207. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek, Kocabiyikoglu, Ayse and Göğüş, Celile (2019) Contrast effects in judgmental forecasting when assessing the implications of worst- and best-case scenarios. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 32 (5). pp. 536-549. ISSN 0894-3257

Önkal, Dilek, Gonul, Sinan and De Baets, Shari (2019) Trusting Forecasts. Futures and Foresight Science, 1 (3-4). e19. ISSN 2573-5152

Eksoz, Can, Mansouri, S. Afshin, Bourlakis, Michael and Önkal, Dilek (2019) Judgmental Adjustments through Supply Integration for Strategic Partnerships in Food Chains. Omega, 87. pp. 20-33. ISSN 0305-0483

Thomson, Mary, Pollock, Andrew C., Önkal, Dilek and Gönül, Sinan (2019) Combining Forecasts: Performance and Coherence. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (2). pp. 474-484. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Gönül, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2019) When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions. European Journal of Operational Research, 273 (3). pp. 992-1004. ISSN 0377-2217

Fildes, Robert, Goodwin, Paul and Önkal, Dilek (2019) Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1). pp. 144-156. ISSN 0169-2070

Bilgic, Ali, Dhami, Mandeep and Önkal, Dilek (2018) Toward a Pedagogy for Critical Security Studies: Politics of Migration in the Classroom. International Studies Perspectives, 19 (3). pp. 250-266. ISSN 1528-3577

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Stekler, Herman O. (2018) What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk. European Journal of Operational Research, 266 (1). pp. 238-246. ISSN 0377-2217

Eksoz, Can and Önkal, Dilek (2018) Bridging the distributor into a collaborative demand and supply planning process. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (49). pp. 39-45. ISSN 1555-9068

Önkal, Dilek, Sinan Gönül, M., Goodwin, Paul, Thomson, Mary and Öz, Esra (2017) Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: Users’ reactions to presumed vs. experienced credibility. International Journal of Forecasting, 33 (1). pp. 280-297. ISSN 0169-2070

Alvarado-Valencia, Jorge, Barrero, Lope, Önkal, Dilek and Dennerlein, Jack (2017) Expertise, credibility of system forecasts and integration methods in judgmental demand forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 33 (1). pp. 298-313. ISSN 0169-2070

Önkal, Dilek, Sayım, Kadire Zeynep and Gönül, Sinan (2013) Scenarios as channels of forecast advice. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4). pp. 772-788. ISSN 0040-1625

Goodwin, Paul, Gönül, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2013) Antecedents and effects of trust in forecasting advice. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2). pp. 354-366. ISSN 0169-2070

Kaptan, Gülbanu, Shiloh, Shoshana and Önkal, Dilek (2013) Values and Risk Perceptions: A Cross-Cultural Examination. Risk Analysis, 33 (2). pp. 318-332. ISSN 0272-4332

Thomson, Mary, Pollock, Andrew, Gönül, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2013) Effects of trend strength and direction on performance and consistency in judgmental exchange rate forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2). pp. 337-353. ISSN 0169-2070

Önkal, Dilek, Zeynep Sayım, K. and Lawrence, Michael (2012) Wisdom of group forecasts: Does role-playing play a role? Omega, 40 (6). pp. 693-702. ISSN 0305-0483

Ayton, Peter, Önkal, Dilek and McReynold, Lisa (2011) Effects of ignorance and information on judgments and decisions. Judgment and Decision Making, 6 (5). pp. 381-391. ISSN 1930-2975

Önkal, Dilek, Lawrence, Michael and Zeynep Sayım, K. (2011) Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy. International Journal of Forecasting, 27 (1). pp. 50-68. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Thomson, Mary (2010) Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions? European Journal of Operational Research, 205 (1). pp. 195-201. ISSN 0377-2217

Pollock, Andrew, MacAuley, Alex, Thomson, Mary, Gonul, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2010) Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates. International Journal of Applied Management Science, 2 (3). p. 282. ISSN 1755-8913

Önkal, Dilek (2009) Comments on “Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning”. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (1). pp. 30-31. ISSN 0169-2070

Önkal, Dilek, Goodwin, Paul, Thomson, Mary, Gönül, Sinan and Pollock, Andrew (2009) The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 22 (4). pp. 390-409. ISSN 0894-3257

Gönül, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek and Goodwin, Paul (2008) Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation. Journal of Forecasting, 28 (1). pp. 19-37. ISSN 0277-6693

Önkal, Dilek, Gönül, Sinan and Lawrence, Michael (2008) Judgmental Adjustments of Previously Adjusted Forecasts. Decision Sciences, 39 (2). pp. 213-238. ISSN 0011-7315

Pollock, Andrew, MacAuley, Alex, Thomson, Mary and Önkal, Dilek (2008) Using Weekly Empirical Probabilities in Currency Analysis and Forecasting. Frontiers in Finance and Economics, 5 (2). pp. 26-55. ISSN 1814-2044

Gönül, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek and Lawrence, Michael (2006) The effects of structural characteristics of explanations on use of a DSS. Decision Support Systems, 42 (3). pp. 1481-1493. ISSN 0167-9236

Book Section

Önkal, Dilek, Kocabıyıkoğlu, Ayşe, Gönül, Sinan and Göğüş, Celile Itır (2020) Behavioral Implications of Demand Perception in Inventory Management. In: Behavioral Operational Research. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, pp. 23-40. ISBN 9783030254049, 9783030254056

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Lawrence, Michael (2011) Improving the Role of Judgment in Economic Forecasting. In: The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting. Oxford University Press, pp. 163-192. ISBN 9780195398649

Conference or Workshop Item

Gonul, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek, Kocabiyikoglu, Ayse and Göğüş, Celile Itir (2022) Forecasts and Order Decisions: Reactions to Demand Variability. In: 42nd International Symposium on Forecasting, ISF 2022, 10-13 Jul 2022, Oxford. (Unpublished)

Gonul, Sinan, Paul Goodwin, Paul Goodwin and Önkal, Dilek (2020) Why/when can scenarios be harmful for judgmental demand forecasts and the following production order decisions? In: ISF 2020: 40th International Symposium on Forecasting, 26-28 Oct 2020, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Önkal, Dilek, Gonul, Sinan and Goodwin, Paul (2020) Judgmental adjustments and scenario use: Individual versus group forecasts. In: ISF 2020 : 40th International Symposium on Forecasting, 26-28 Oct 2020, Virtual, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. (Unpublished)

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek, Kocabiyikoğlu, Ayşe and Göğüş, Celile Itir (2019) Contrast effects in judgmental forecasting when assessing the implications of worst- and best-case scenarios. In: ISF 2019 - 39th International Symposium on Forecasting, 16th - 19th June 2019, Thessaloniki, Greece.

Gonul, Sinan, Goodwin, Paul and Önkal, Dilek (2019) The effects of scenarios on judgmental demand forecasts and the subsequent production decisions. In: ISF 2019 - 39th International Symposium on Forecasting, 16th - 19th June 2019, Thessaloniki, Greece.

Gönül, Sinan, Kocabıyıkoğlu, Ayşe, Gogus, Celile and Önkal, Dilek (2018) Reactions to Demand Magnitude and Variability in Order Decisions: Behavioural Implications. In: Operational Research Society Annual Conference (OR60), 11-13 September 2018, Lancaster.