Items where Author is "Goodwin, Paul"

Article

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2022) Commentary on Making Forecasting More Trustworthy. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (66). pp. 26-29. ISSN 1555-9068

Petropoulos, Fotios, Apiletti, Daniele, Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, Babai, Mohamed Zied, Barrow, Devon K., Taieb, Souhaib Ben, Bergmeir, Christoph, Bessa, Ricardo J., Bijak, Jakub, Boylan, John E., Browell, Jethro, Carnevale, Claudio, Castle, Jennifer L., Cirillo, Pasquale, Clements, Michael P., Cordeiro, Clara, Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino, De Baets, Shari, Dokumentov, Alexander, Ellison, Joanne, Fiszeder, Piotr, Franses, Philip Hans, Frazier, David T., Gilliland, Michael, Gonul, Sinan, Goodwin, Paul, Grossi, Luigi, Grushka-Cockayne, Yael, Guidolin, Mariangela, Guidolin, Massimo, Gunter, Ulrich, Guo, Xiaojia, Guseo, Renato, Harvey, Nigel, Hendry, David F., Hollyman, Ross, Januschowski, Tim, Jeon, Jooyoung, Jose, Victor Richmond R., Kang, Yanfei, Koehler, Anne B., Kolassa, Stephan, Kourentzes, Nikolaos, Leva, Sonia, Li, Feng, Litsiou, Konstantia, Makridakis, Spyros, Martin, Gael M., Martinez, Andrew B., Meeran, Sheik, Modis, Theodore, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, Önkal, Dilek, Alessia Paccagnini, Alessia, Panagiotelis, Anastasios, Panapakidis, Ioannis, Pavia, Jose M., Pedio, Manuela, Pedregal, Diego J., Pinson, Pierre, Ramos, Patricia, Rapach, David E., Reade, J. James, Rostami-Tabar, Bahman, Rubaszek, Michał, Sermpinis, Georgios, Shang, Han Lin, Spiliotis, Evangelos, Syntetos, Aris A., Talagala, Priyanga Dilini, Talagala, Thiyanga S., Tashman, Len, Thomakos, Dimitrios, Thorarinsdottir, Thordis, Todini, Ezio, Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramon, Wang, Xiaoqian, Winkler, Robert L., Yusupova, Alisa and Ziel, Florian (2022) Forecasting: theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting, 38 (3). pp. 705-871. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek, Kocabiyikoglu, Ayse and Göğüş, Celile (2019) Contrast effects in judgmental forecasting when assessing the implications of worst- and best-case scenarios. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 32 (5). pp. 536-549. ISSN 0894-3257

Goodwin, Paul, Gönül, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2019) When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions. European Journal of Operational Research, 273 (3). pp. 992-1004. ISSN 0377-2217

Fildes, Robert, Goodwin, Paul and Önkal, Dilek (2019) Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1). pp. 144-156. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Stekler, Herman O. (2018) What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk. European Journal of Operational Research, 266 (1). pp. 238-246. ISSN 0377-2217

Önkal, Dilek, Sinan Gönül, M., Goodwin, Paul, Thomson, Mary and Öz, Esra (2017) Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: Users’ reactions to presumed vs. experienced credibility. International Journal of Forecasting, 33 (1). pp. 280-297. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Gönül, Sinan and Önkal, Dilek (2013) Antecedents and effects of trust in forecasting advice. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2). pp. 354-366. ISSN 0169-2070

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Thomson, Mary (2010) Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions? European Journal of Operational Research, 205 (1). pp. 195-201. ISSN 0377-2217

Önkal, Dilek, Goodwin, Paul, Thomson, Mary, Gönül, Sinan and Pollock, Andrew (2009) The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 22 (4). pp. 390-409. ISSN 0894-3257

Gönül, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek and Goodwin, Paul (2008) Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation. Journal of Forecasting, 28 (1). pp. 19-37. ISSN 0277-6693

Book Section

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek and Lawrence, Michael (2011) Improving the Role of Judgment in Economic Forecasting. In: The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting. Oxford University Press, pp. 163-192. ISBN 9780195398649

Conference or Workshop Item

Önkal, Dilek, Gonul, Sinan and Goodwin, Paul (2020) Judgmental adjustments and scenario use: Individual versus group forecasts. In: ISF 2020 : 40th International Symposium on Forecasting, 26-28 Oct 2020, Virtual, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. (Unpublished)

Goodwin, Paul, Gonul, Sinan, Önkal, Dilek, Kocabiyikoğlu, Ayşe and Göğüş, Celile Itir (2019) Contrast effects in judgmental forecasting when assessing the implications of worst- and best-case scenarios. In: ISF 2019 - 39th International Symposium on Forecasting, 16th - 19th June 2019, Thessaloniki, Greece.

Gonul, Sinan, Goodwin, Paul and Önkal, Dilek (2019) The effects of scenarios on judgmental demand forecasts and the subsequent production decisions. In: ISF 2019 - 39th International Symposium on Forecasting, 16th - 19th June 2019, Thessaloniki, Greece.