Zhang, Yajing, Yuan, Jingfeng, Zhao, Jianfeng, Cheng, Li and Li, Qiming (2022) Hybrid Dynamic Pricing Model for Transport PPP Projects during the Residual Concession Period. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 148 (2). 04021200. ISSN 0733-9364
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PPP concession price_accepted version_watermark.pdf - Accepted Version Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
Public–Private-Partnerships (PPPs) have been adopted worldwide to deliver infrastructure projects and/or provide public services. Having a reasonable concession price (operation and transfer) in place is pivotal for sustaining a win-win relationship between governments and private sectors. However, historical data have shown that the concession price of PPPs when transfer is less than satisfactory due to the changing attribute of pricing parameters, causing substantial loss of residual value (RV). Nevertheless, a rational and systematic pricing model for PPPs, especially transport PPPs, is not yet available. To this end, a hybrid dynamic pricing model for transport PPPs during the residual concession period underpinned by the case-based reasoning technique is proposed. Furthermore, using a case study of the Western Harbor Crossing tunnel in Hong Kong, the proposed model is validated to be able to account for the dynamic pricing parameters and calculate a reasonable and accurate residual concession price. The contributions of this study are twofold: (1) it highlights that a reasonable concession price beyond the operation period is significant in maintaining RV; and (2) it provides a hybrid dynamic pricing model for governments and private sectors to calibrate the current less-than-satisfactory residual concession price.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | Funding information: Scientific Research Foundation of Nanjing Institute of Technology (YKJ201986) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC 71671042) |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Case-based reasoning, Public–Private-Partnerships (PPPs), Residual concession price, Residual value, Transport infrastructure, Building and Construction, Civil and Structural Engineering, Industrial relations, Strategy and Management |
Subjects: | H200 Civil Engineering H300 Mechanical Engineering |
Department: | Faculties > Engineering and Environment > Architecture and Built Environment |
Depositing User: | Rachel Branson |
Date Deposited: | 04 Jan 2022 11:14 |
Last Modified: | 04 Jan 2022 11:15 |
URI: | http://nrl.northumbria.ac.uk/id/eprint/48061 |
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